PLA Marine Corps 63A amphibious main battle tank actual combat exercise Image source: World Wide Web
They are proficient in Chinese, know China, have friends in China, and are paid more and more attention.
Recently, an American commander who is familiar with China’s army peddled "Hedgehog Strategy" to Taiwan Province, thinking that Taiwan Province should abandon its naval and air defense and strengthen its army in the military balance with Chinese mainland. This move once again focused the attention of public opinion on these special military figures, who are some China experts of the US military.
Murray peddled "Hedgehog Strategy" to Taiwan Province to deal with the mainland.
According to a recent report in Taiwan Province’s Free Times, William Murray, an associate professor of research at the United States Naval War College, published an article entitled "Rethinking Taiwan Province’s national defense strategy" in the Naval War College Review, which aroused the appreciation of Taiwan Province Guoan. According to reports, William Murray’s specialty is the study of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy. During his tenure in the US Navy, he planned submarine deployment and was himself a submarine commander.
In his article, William Murray mainly discusses that the accuracy of short-range missiles in China’s army has greatly increased because of the continuous updating of equipment, and the huge number, even if Taiwan Province buys more Patriot III missiles, it will not help. Therefore, the airport runway will definitely be violently attacked. Even if Taiwan Province Air Force fighters are evacuated to the eastern underground bunker base, it will not help, because the fighters can’t take off at all, so neither the F-16 nor the P-3 anti-submarine aircraft need to be introduced.
At the same time, the naval port is also vulnerable to short-range missiles, because when the missiles are in the air, the warships in the port can’t escape. Therefore, Kidd-class ships and diesel-electric submarines bought by Taiwan Province, like air force fighters, could not survive the first strike of China. Also, because the Ai-3 missile cannot completely intercept the China missile, there is no need to purchase it; As for the Xionger E cruise missile independently developed by Taiwan Province with a range of 360 Li, it is meaningless.
Murray put forward the so-called "Hedgehog Strategy", that is, Taiwan Province should strengthen and copy the protection of multiple sets of key facilities, focus on the army, strengthen the combat effectiveness of the army to resist the long-term blockade, and wait for the US military to intervene. At the same time, develop decoys, jammers and false targets, so that mainland missiles can be wasted on the wrong targets. At the same time, he suggested that Taiwan Province should motorize its important military facilities, including the frequent movement of anti-aircraft missile launchers, the fact that naval vessels and air force fighters should not dock at the same port or airport for a long time, and should frequently change and increase the time spent at sea and in the air.
Shi Mingkai evolved from peddling strategy to making money by arms sales.
The PLA Navy 054A new frigate launches anti-submarine rockets. Image source: World Wide Web
Shi Mingkai evolved from peddling strategy to making money by arms sales.
In fact, there are many Americans who have attracted attention by scaring Taiwan Province and selling so-called tactical strategies to Taiwan Province. Shi Mingkai, a little-known former head of the Pentagon’s "China Branch", is one of them. This person is currently one of Depth Charge in the arms trade between the United States and Taiwan. From 1992 to 1995, Shi Mingkai served as Assistant Military Attaché of the US Embassy in China. From 1997 to 2004, he worked in the Pentagon as the leader and senior director of the China, China, Taiwan Province and Mongolia Affairs Group (commonly known as "China Section"), mainly responsible for formulating military policies related to China and US arms sales to Taiwan.
In 1999, just two years after joining the China Branch of the Pentagon, Shi Mingkai published a book about China’s military strength: China’s Modernization Strategy and Its Significance to the United States. In the book, he actively advocated the "China missile threat" by using the information and materials he collected during his stay in China. He preached, "Chinese mainland has probably developed a model that can capture Taiwan Province without launching a large-scale attack. By intensively using hundreds of short-range missiles … Chinese mainland can gain air superiority in 45 minutes and paralyze Taiwan Province. " This view is exactly the same as that of William Murray.
However, this view has just been respected by American "hawkish" theorists. When the Bush administration came to power in 2000, Shi Mingkai became the chief of the "China Section" at the Pentagon. Although he can only be regarded as a middle-level cadre, the affairs he is responsible for are extremely important. Since then, he has frequently appeared in American conservative think tanks, US-Taiwan arms sales seminars and congressional hearings. At the US-Taiwan "Arms Summit" attended by Taiwan Province’s military procurement personnel, he also constantly put pressure on Taiwan to buy a large number of weapons systems from the United States. And he even founded his own arms sales company-Quantum Pacific Company. In this company, a map of Taiwan Province Island is particularly eye-catching, and its main agents are business in Taiwan Province, China, Chinese mainland and South Korea. Shi Mingkai made the US arms sales to Taiwan quite impressive.
In addition, Xue Ruifu, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Asia-Pacific Affairs in the State Council, and Bu Danian, former head of the China Section of the US Department of Defense, enjoyed the Taiwan Strait issue even after their retirement.
Annual report to congress, written by Bai Bangrui, has been revised several times.
China’s new Condor 400 guided rocket launcher Image source: World Wide Web
Annual report to congress, written by Bai Bangrui, has been revised several times.
As can be seen from the above figures, their "hawkish" colors are extremely bright, and their common feature is that they have been engaged in China policy formulation or research for many years, and they can all be said to be China experts. They suggested that the National Security Council of the State Council and Taiwan Province should pay attention to the People’s Liberation Army in an attempt to influence the US policy toward China.
In fact, among this group of people, William Murray and Shi Mingkai are not the most powerful. Bai Bangrui, who was once used by former US Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld, is the high-ranking person in this group. In addition to the above common features, Bai Bangrui can speak fluent Chinese and has thoroughly studied Sun Tzu’s Art of War. As a consultant in the Policy Research Office of the Office of the Secretary of Defense, a senior researcher at the National Defense University and the Atlantic Council, Bai Bangrui was originally a sinologist, and he came to China for many times to attend the International Symposium on Sun Tzu’s Art of War and made a keynote speech. Bai Bangrui often shuttles between Chinese mainland, China, Taiwan Province and the United States.
Bai Bangrui’s attitude towards China has changed from fondness to suspicion during the research on China for more than 30 years. At that time, before the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, the U.S. government authorized the establishment of the "Bai Bangrui Channel", allowing the 27-year-old young scholar to secretly discuss military cooperation between the two countries with China through the Permanent Mission of China to the United Nations. In 1975, at the behest of the US government, Bai Bangrui wrote an article in Foreign Policy magazine, openly supporting the US-China military cooperation, thus establishing his important position in the development of military relations between the two countries.
However, since the 1990s, it has changed from a firm support for US-China cooperation to a warning to the United States about the rise of China. He once asserted that Deng Xiaoping’s policy of "keeping a low profile and keeping a low profile" is a modern version of "sleeping on one’s laurels", and the United States must avoid China from challenging its position when conditions are ripe. He claimed that Sun Tzu advocated military cunning, and in the Warring States period, Gou Jian, the King of Yue, kept a low profile and only sought a "peaceful rise", and as a result, the King of Wu was deceived. If China is not contained, 30 years later, the fate of the United States will be the same as that of Fu Cha, the king of Wu. The Economist commented that under the encouragement of Bai Bangrui, the Pentagon has always maintained a very cautious view on China’s strategy, and he is the "fuse" that caused opposition among government departments on China policy.
Bai Bangrui once wrote annual report to congress in 2005. In previous years, the White House generally passed the submitted military reports quickly, but in the year when Bai Bangrui wrote, there was a jam. The reason is that Bai Bangrui described China as a strategic competitor of the United States in the tone of a China expert, and believed that China’s military development would bring Asia under the control of China, and there were many words that stimulated China. As a result, officials of the White House National Security Council considered the wording in the report "too sharp" and exaggerated China’s "hostile image". In the end, Dennis Wilder, a member of the White House National Security Council and an expert on China in the Central Intelligence Agency, asked to delete the irritating content.
It is reported that Bai Bangrui always sat beside Rumsfeld, then Secretary of Defense, in the meetings of the US Department of Defense to discuss China policy, and Bai Bangrui became Rumsfeld’s most dependent adviser on China affairs. Bai Bangrui can tell the history of the relationship between the US and China’s armed forces in one breath in Chinese, with a few idioms mixed in from time to time. In 2002, when Hu Jintao, then Vice President of China, visited the United States, Rumsfeld also withdrew the interpreter from the State Council and appointed Bai Bangrui as an interpreter.
Military personnel who can speak Chinese and have friends in China are very popular.
Domestic C-802A anti-ship missile unveiled at Zhuhai Air Show Image Source: World Wide Web
Military personnel who can speak Chinese and have friends in China are very popular.
It can be seen that Bai Bangrui’s familiarity with Chinese helped him establish his position in the US military. It is reported that many officials of the US Pacific Command can speak fluent Chinese at present and have a thorough study and understanding of China. Whether in the intelligence department or in the combat department, "China hands" are a group of quite active figures. This has something to do with the fact that American commanders are paying more and more attention to China.
Since 1990s, the communication between Pacific Command and China’s military has been increasing. Since 1996, Pruher, Blair, Fargo and Fallon have successively served as commanders of the Pacific Command. They not only pay more and more attention to China, but also have a deeper understanding of China. When selecting the Pacific Commander in the Pentagon, it is an unwritten rule and standard whether he has a certain understanding of China and has worked in a certain degree with China.
On the other hand, when selecting the personnel responsible for receiving the China Observer Mission, the US military put forward very clear requirements: not only should they know Chinese, understand China culture and be familiar with China people’s habits, but they should also have friends from China. Despite the harsh conditions, the response was like a cloud, and the Public Affairs Office of Pacific Command quickly picked up qualified receptionists. It is reported that in the Pacific Command and its subordinate departments, there has been an upsurge of learning Chinese in recent years, and more and more American officers and men know Chinese. Moreover, in the Chinese exam organized by the US military, if officers and men can get good grades, they will not only have an advantage in promotion, but also get a reward of $1,000.
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Editor: Tian Shijia